1. Aaron Rodgers, QB, Packers
He might struggle with a new Offensive Coordinator, but you’re still looking at forty touchdowns.
2. Tom Brady, QB, Patriots
A new Offensive Coordinator, but a familiar one. McDaniels has more weapons to work with this time around, too.
3. Matthew Stafford, QB, Lions
The Lions will once again lead the league in passing attempts. Stafford is in line for another 5,000 yard passing season, but the attempts will keep his turnovers higher than you’ll like.
4. Drew Brees, QB, Saints
Without his coach and Robert Meachum next year. There’s no way he can match his 2011 stats.
5. Cam Newton, QB, Panthers
Cam is a high risk, high reward Fantasy option at the top. The sophomore slump could strike, but Cam’s never been one to fly under expectations.
6. Tony Romo, QB, Cowboys
Romo’s group of weapons is on par with any set in the league. Romo had his best statistical year as a pro last season.
7. Eli Manning, QB, Giants
A Super Bowl win won’t help me forget how mediocre Eli Manning was at times last year. At best, Manning is inconsistently great.
8. Philip Rivers, QB, Chargers
Rivers had his worst year as a pro last year. Even without Vincent Jackson, there is no way he’ll be as bad next year.
9. Ben Reothlisberger, QB, Steelers
Another Quarterback with a new Offensive Coordinator, but Ben Reothlisberger retains all of his weapons, and the Steelers will have to throw the ball with Rashard Mendenhall likely missing the whole season.
10. Matt Ryan, QB, Falcons
Matt Ryan’s pass attempts have steadily gone up since he came to Atlanta. Ryan may not excel in the playoffs, but he’s the safest option of the remaining Quarterbacks.
11. Peyton Manning, QB, Broncos
I’m worried about his neck, but John Elway knows everything about him and he’s working to make sure everything is perfect for him. He’s be much higher if there wasn’t a health risk.
12. Michael Vick, QB, Eagles
Vick’s attempts are really low for a QB1. With DeSean Jackson (hopefully) returning to form next year, Vick’s statistics will be improved, but the touchdowns will still be hoarded by McCoy.
13. Matt Schaub, QB, Texans
Matt Schaub’s pass attempts were down last year before exiting early. He only has two complete seasons as a pro on top of that.
14. Jay Cutler, QB, Bears
The Bears are going through an entire culture change. Jay Cutler was phenomenal at times last year, and he’ll have great targets to throw to, but there is a really big learning curve at this point. Halfway through the year, Cutler could be a solid QB1 option.
15. Robert Griffin III, QB, Redskins
The Redskins Offense has been tailor-made for Robert Griffin III. He’s going to be phenomenal as a rookie, but he’ll struggle with turnovers, as all rookies do.
16. Joe Flacco, QB, Ravens
The Ravens continue to surround Joe Flacco with great weapons, and he’s steadily improved every season.
17. Carson Palmer, QB, Raiders
Carson Palmer is a very safe back-up. Palmer’s statistics, especially near the goal line, should be improved. The Raiders will likely look to pass more in the red zone without Michael Bush.
18. Andy Dalton, QB, Bengals
The thing you love about Andy Dalton is AJ Green. The Bengals will continue to improve their Offense, but I’m not sold Andy Dalton
19. Andrew Luck, QB, Colts
The Colts drafted the right guy, but Andrew Luck isn’t as NFL ready as most suggest. Luck will need to get acclimated to the speed of the game before he’s heading your fantasy team. He could be a top five Quarterback by next year.
20. Alex Smith, QB, 49ers
Alex Smith has elite weapons, but I doubt he’ll ever meet his potential as a passer.
21. Matt Cassel, QB, Chiefs
Matt Cassel will be working in a new system next year, but he should be a safe back-up.
22. Sam Bradford, QB, Rams
The NFC West is weak against the pass, and Bradford should be good for a few weeks of QB1 production, even in a completely new system. It won’t last. I expect to see Bradford on the waiver wire frequently.
23. Josh Freeman, QB, Buccaneers
Freeman has a very average group of Receivers to throw to. The Running Backs in Tampa will likely be asked to carry the load.
24. Matt Flynn, QB, Seahawks
Matt Flynn is a big risk. He has no experience as a starter and will be the fall back plan to Marshawn Lynch pounding the rock.
25. Blaine Gabbert, QB, Jaguars
I don’t buy into the idea Blaine Gabbert is the worst Quarterback in the league. With another year in the system, Gabbert’s numbers should improve.