*All bowl games will be posted in order of date played.

ATS: Arizona -8 1/2
Confidence: Arizona 14
 
Why?: Nevada’s defense regressed over the course of the season, finishing 96th in scoring and averaging over 38 points per game over their last six contests. Arizona scored under 30 points three times during the season, an opener against Toledo, and games against Oregon and UCLA. Nevada doesn’t have the defensive talent to stop Matt Scott and Ka’Deem Carey. Stephfon Jefferson is one of the best backs in the country, but Nevada won’t be able to keep up with the pace Arizona sets.
 
 

ATS: Utah State -10 1/2
Confidence: Utah State 7
 
Why?: Utah State Quarterback Chuckie Keeton quietly put together a fantastic season at Quarterback for the Aggies. Five points in two loses are all that separate Utah State from a perfect season. Their top-ten ranked defense had some trouble containing Louisiana Tech’s offense, but Toledo’s more balanced attack won’t be nearly the challenge. The game’s score will depend on how well Utah State’s suffocating defense executes early.
 
 

ATS: San Diego State +3 1/2
Confidence: San Diego State 8
 
Why?: San Diego State faced a similar foe when they defeated Chris Peterson’s Boise State team. A well-coached defense with NFL prospects isn’t going to force a talented San Diego State team into submission. San Diego State’s offense matches-up well with BYU’s talent on defense; Ezekial Ansah and Kyle Van Noy will spend the majority of their time trying to put a cap on Adam Muema and Walter Kazee, and if the middle of the field opens up, Senior Tight End Gavin Escobar will help cement his status as a Day 2 NFL Draft selection. If Andrew Dingwell can limit mistakes, expect San Diego State to pull-out a close game.
 
 

ATS: Central Florida +7 1/2
Confidence: UCF 9
 
Why? Ball State has more talent on offense than does Central Florida, but the trip down to St. Petersburg will be difficult for a young team that doesn’t have much experience. Sophomores are Willie Snead and Jahwan Edwards are potential All-MAC players moving forward, but I believe they will have trouble after the extended break. Central Florida is quicker on defense than most of the Ball State schedule. Central Florida, led by Senior Runningback Latavius Murray, will not have the same issues in a virtual home game.
 

ATS: LA Lafayette -7
Confidence: LA Lafayette 10
 
Why? Sophomore Justin Hardy is going to turn some heads on national TV, but I’m not sure he can win the game for East Carolina. The two squads are evenly matched, I’m going with Lafayette, playing in a virtual home-game.
 

ATS: Boise State -5
Confidence: Boise State 6
 
Why? Never bet against Chris Peterson in a situation where preparedness will be a deciding role. Peterson has proved for years that his team, specifically on the defensive side of the ball, is always prepared. There’s not as much NFL talent on the Boise State roster this year, but that didn’t stop them from winning a share of the Mountain West title. Keith Price hasn’t been effective in preventing turnovers so far this season, and I doubt that changes here. Boise wins with defense and at least one trick-play Touchdown.
 

ATS: Fresno State -13
Confidence: Fresno State 11
 
Why? This is one of the more one-sided games picked by the bowl committees. Fresno clearly has more talent on both sides of the ball than SMU. SMU, in my estimation, was chosen mostly because of their rich following that will be able to make the trip to attend the game. Expect Fresno Quarterback Derek Carr to show why he is a Top 75 prospect going into his senior season.
 

ATS: Western Kentucky -6 1/2
Confidence: Western Kentucky 12
 
Why? Central Michigan probably has the two best players on roster in Left Tackle Eric Fisher, my #3 rated Left Tackle prospect and a probable 1st round pick, and suspended Wide Receiver Titus Davis. They also have home-field advantage a day after Christmas. I just don’t think they have the talent in other areas to contend. They’ve won just 12 games in the past three years, that’s no coincidence.
 

ATS: Bowling Green +7
Confidence: San Jose State 13
 
Why? San Jose State has the best player in the game in Quarterback David Fales, a potential first round pick going into his Senior season, but Bowling Green’s defense is no joke, and will be able to keep the game close.
 

ATS: Cincinnati -9 1/2
Confidence: Cincinnati 16
 
Why? Cincinnati is clearly the more talented team, but I have a gut feeling Duke will come more prepared. Without Butch Jones, I don’t know how much motivation Cincinnati has in a game where they’re favored so heavily. I think in the second half talent will prevail, but don’t be surprised when Duke goes up early.
 

ATS: UCLA -3
Confidence: UCLA 24
 
Why? Like the Cincinnati game, one of the teams is clearly more skilled from top to bottom – that being UCLA. Anthony Barr and Datone Jones anchor a defense that should be blitzing a lot to throw off the timing of the Baylor offense. UCLA’s offense will have to sustain long drives so that Baylor’s quick-hitting offense can’t get on the field. If you love the draft and want to watch a guy you may not have heard of, watch UCLA Sophomore Xavier Su’a-Filo, who is an absolute monster at Guard.
 

 
The rest of the games will be added periodically over the next week or so.

MAC Championship Game
21 Northern Illinois (11-1) AT 17 Kent State (11-1)
Time: 7:00 PM EDT | Spread: Northern Illinois -7 1/2

 
The Pick: Kent State +7 1/2
 
Why?: Kent State’s defense hasn’t faced a dual-threat Quarterback at the level or Jordan Lynch, but I think his skills on the field will be kept in check by an under-rated Kent State defense. Kent State has the athletes at Linebacker to spy Lynch and force him to win the game with his arm, and I don’t think he’ll be able. The deadly combination of Dri Archer and Trayion Durham will put enough points on the board for Kent State to win a close one.

PAC 12 Championship Game
16 UCLA (9-3) AT 8 Stanford (10-2)
Time: 8:00 PM EDT | Spread: Stanford -9 1/2

 
The Pick: Stanford -9 1/2
 
Why? Before their first match-up, I was convinced these two would split games, but afterwards, I just don’t see Stanford slipping up at home. I expect another big game from Stepfan Taylor, who always seems to show up when the Trees need him. It will be hard to keep Jonathan Franklin down on the other side, but if Stanford wins the line of scrimmage as they’ve done all season save for the Notre Dame game, they just might.
 

11 Oklahoma (9-2) AT TCU (7-4)
Time: 12:00 PM EDT | Spread: Oklahoma -6

 
The Pick: Oklahoma -6
 
Why?: Oklahoma has shown in recent weeks that they’re incredibly beatable, especially to teams that can match their offensive fire-power. Unfortunately for TCU, they cannot match-up with Oklahoma’s offensive talent. Landry Jones and Kenny Stills are going to torch the TCU defense, but if their goal is a BCS Bowl Game they might end the night disappointed.
 

Southeastern Conference Championship Game
2 Alabama (11-1) AT 3 Georgia (11-1)
Time: 4:00 PM EDT | Spread: Alabama -7 1/2

 
The Pick: Georgia +7 1/2
 
Why? This game will likely come down to a turnover or two. If that’s the case, it’s hard to bet against Alabama, because aside from the Texas A&M game Quarterback AJ McCarron’s role as a manager was abundantly clear, and Eddie Lacy and TJ Yeldon weren’t fumbling away the ball game. However, the Georgia defense is strong in the right places to defeat Alabama. Strong Nose Tackle play has been a problem for Barrett Jones all season long, and I expect that to continue with John Jenkins. Both Alabama offensive tackles have struggled in pass-protection, and Jarvis Jones will be on the prowl. I think Georgia’s defense does just enough to put their offense into position to win the game, whether or not they cash-in is a different story. Regardless of the win or the loss, the 7.5 spread is just too high for this Georgia defense.
 

18 Texas (8-3) AT 6 Kansas State (10-1)
Time: 8:00 PM EDT | Spread: Kansas State -10 1/2

 
The Pick: Kansas State -10 1/2
 
Why? Kansas State has looked beatable once all season, when they met an incredibly vertically gifted Baylor squad that took advantage of a schematic mis-match and injuries in the Secondary. Because of this, people have written Kansas State off. No team without that offensive firepower, however, has tested Kansas State, and I don’t think Texas will either. Kansas State is built to play with the lead, and Texas offense won’t challenge that.
 

Big Ten Championship Game
12 Nebraska (10-2) AT Wisconsin (7-5)
Time: 8:17 PM EDT | Spread: Nebraska -3

 
The Pick: Wisconsin +3
 
Why? This game would look a whole lot better if two of the conferences five best teams weren’t ineligible for post-season play. A rematch from an earlier-season match-up, I think things come out different at a neutral site. Nebraska cost themselves field position early in the game and crawled out of the hole they created when Bret Bielema relaxed his defense. I think Wisconsin will have a much better defensive scheme this-time around, and the Wisconsin offense looks a lot better now than it did then, as the offensive line is creating creases for Montee Ball.
 

Thanksgiving Day Bonus Game
TCU (6-4) AT 16 Texas (8-2)
Time: 7:30 PM EDT | Spread: Texas – 7 1/2

 
The Pick: Texas -7 1/2
 
Why?: TCU isn’t particularly strong in any facet of the game after losing Quarterback Casey Pachal. On defense, the Horned Frogs have struggled to defend the pass. That bodes well for Texas Quarterback David Ash, who has been fantastic in his last two starts. Conversely, Texas’ defense really struggled to bring down open field runners earlier in the season. That seems to be a problem Texas fixed after they were pounded by Baylor for fifty.
 

The Game
19 Michigan (8-3) AT Ohio State (11-0)
Time: 12:00 PM EDT | Spread: Ohio State -3 1/2

 
The Pick: Ohio State -3 1/2
 
Why?: The Michigan offensive line has really struggled this season. For the most part, that’s gone under the radar, but I think it will be the focal point of discussions following this game. Michigan’s Offensive Line was completely out-matched when they escaped Northwestern. What are they going to do with Johnathan Hankins and, to a lesser extent, John Simon? That’s not even the worst of the potential match-up nightmares for Michigan. The Michigan Linebackers have really struggled in space as of late, especially without Desmond Morgan. Unless Brady Hoke has something magical up his short-sleeve, I don’t like the Wolverines chances.
 

The Civil War
5 Oregon (10-1) AT 15 Oregon State (9-2)
Time: 3:00 PM EDT | Spread: Oregon -9 1/2

 
The Pick: Oregon -9 1/2
 
Why?: Oregon State is 105th in the country in rushing yards per game. You cannot beat Oregon unless you can have long, sustained drives on the Offensive side of the ball. I just don’t see that happening. I expect Oregon State to jump out on top with some aggressive passing, but this one will be over by the start of the forth quarter.
 

Bedlam
21 Oklahoma State (7-3) AT 13 Oklahoma (8-2)
Time: 3:30 PM EDT | Spread: Oklahoma -7

 
The Pick: Oklahoma -7
 
Why?: Oklahoma’s two losses prove they’re able to be beaten by teams that can run the ball well and avoid mistakes. Outside of Kansas State, Oklahoma State might be the Big XII’s best example of those qualities. Joseph Randle doesn’t get enough national attention for his ability to run the ball, and JW Walsh has all the tools to pick apart a defense, but his 3 Interceptions on the season suggests he has maturity at the position beyond the Freshman label. However, Oklahoma State has been terrible on the road. Their only road win was a six-point victory over a Kansas team still looking for win number two. This game could go either way, but I’m leaning toward Oklahoma.
 

4 Florida (10-1) AT 10 Florida State (10-1)
Time: 3:30 PM EDT | Spread: Florida State -8

 
The Pick: Florida +8
 
Why?: I think this is going to be an ugly game. I don’t see a reason to believe either offense will prosper, as it seems they’re both drastically over-matched against the opposing defense. If this game comes down to Special Teams and turnovers, and I think it will, give me Florida.
 

8 Stanford (9-2) AT 17 UCLA (9-2)
Time: 6:30 PM EDT | Spread: Stanford -2

 
The Pick: UCLA +2
 
Why?: Stanford’s offense is stagnant when they don’t win the battle up front, and I think UCLA’s defensive front is better than people think. With the way UCLA is built on offense, if you’re not matching them immediately in terms of time of possession, you’re probably never going to get into a groove on offense.
 

1 Notre Dame (11-0) AT USC (7-4)
Time: 8:00 PM EDT | Spread: Notre Dame -5 1/2

 
The Pick: Notre Dame -5 1/2
 
Why?: I think this one is going to be really, really ugly. USC has struggled badly against strong fronts, and Notre Dame’s might be the strongest. Manti Te’o is the name everyone is familiar with, but Stephon Tuitt and Prince Shembo will have their way with the USC offensive line. The USC defense hasn’t been much better. Without Matt Barkley to get the ball to Marqise Lee, I don’t think USC has much hope.
 

22 Rutgers (8-1) AT Cincinnati (7-2)
Time: 12:00 PM EDT | Spread: Cincinnati -6

 
The Pick: Cincinnati wins, covers.
 
Why?: Rutgers had relied heavily on their defense to keep them in, and in some cases, win them games this season. I’m not sure they’re equipped to stop the Cincinnati rushing atack, led by Senior George Winn.
 

18 USC (7-3) AT 17 UCLA (8-2)
Time: 3:05 PM EDT | Spread: USC -4

 
The Pick: UCLA wins, advances to Pac 12 Championship.
 
Why?: The blueprint to beat the 2012-2013 USC Trojans has been clearly defined. If you can get A-Gap pressure consistently and rally to tackle Marquis Lee and Robert Woods in the open field (Which is much easier said than done); you have a good chance to win. I think Jim Mora’s defense can manage that much, and Jonathan Franklin will do enough to get UCLA over the top.
 

NC State (6-4) AT 11 Clemson (9-1)
Time: 3:30 PM EDT | Spread: Clemson -16 1/2

 
The Pick: Clemson wins, covers.
 
Why?: If you’re a team looking to upset Clemson, you either have to be able to depend on your defense, or you have to sustain drives to keep their high-powered offense off the field. I don’t think NC State will have either of those things. Star defender David Amerson will probably have a tough day, as Clemson will look to force man-coverage early.
 

23 Texas Tech (7-3) AT 24 Oklahoma State (6-3)
Time: 3:30 PM EDT | Spread: Oklahoma State -9 1/2

 
The Pick: Oklahoma State wins, covers.
 
Why?: Since they shut-down West Virginia, Texas Tech has been getting shellacked weekly, giving up almost 36 points per contest. Between JW Walsh and Joseph Randle, I expect Oklahoma State will have their way on the ground.
 

1 Kansas State (10-0) AT Baylor (4-5)
Time: 8:00 PM EDT | Spread: Kansas State -12

 
The Pick: Kansas State wins, Baylor covers.
 
Why?: Baylor has lost to all three ranked opponents they’ve faced this season, but none of the losses has come by more than a Touchdown. An area of concern: Kansas State has allowed nearly more than twice as many passing yards as they have rushing yards. I don’t think Kansas State will coast to victory as easily as they have against past tests.
 

13 Stanford (8-2) AT 2 Oregon (10-0)
Time: 8:00 PM EDT | Spread: Oregon -20 1/2

 
The Pick: Oregon wins, Stanford covers.
 
Why?: That spread is just too big for what should be a competitive conference game, although I think Oregon manages to win by double-digits. Stanford will keep it close because of their stellar play in the front seven, but Marcus Mariotta showed last week that will only slow down Oregon’s efforts. Stanford just isn’t good enough to hang in Autzen for four quarters, but expect an interesting first half.
 

When ESPN revealed the weekly BCS Standings Sunday night, it’s likely that the entire Notre Dame fan base panicked just a little bit. For the first time after the Alabama loss, they were told that, for now, even an undefeated Notre Dame team would not play for the National Championship. Scenarios exist where Notre Dame (and several other teams, for that matter) are still alive. Those scenarios all include Kansas State, now ranked number one, or Oregon, now ranked number two, losing.
 
Are there other paths for Notre Dame to ultimately play for the National Championship?
 
Oregon is ranked forth in the country, behind a one-loss Florida team, one of the most reasonable Notre Dame jumping scenarios is predicated on Oregon falling even further creating an absurd outlier in their formula similar to Florida State’s, who is currently weighed down by the computers. Unfortunately for Notre Dame, there aren’t many teams that can realistically jump Oregon in the computers to weigh them down. Assuming one of Georgia or Alabama is able to pass Oregon in the computers by successfully winning the SEC, Oregon’s average would drop a single ranking, but would not fall so far to put them behind Notre Dame. In order for Notre Dame to jump Oregon, they will need two teams to jump Oregon, forcing a sixth place finish in the computers.
 
Notre Dame can be aided in the computer polls if their opponents finish the season well. Notre Dame should be rooting for Michigan, Michigan State, Purdue, and Oklahoma the rest of the way.
 
However, Oregon is incredibly unlikely to fall at all In the computer rankings at all. So, if even if Notre Dame is able to gain some percentage points in the computer polls, the desired result is unlikely. Oregon has two ranked opponents remaining and it’s likely that whichever team they play in the Pac 12 Championship Game will also be ranked. Oregon’s remaining schedule includes the 11th and 12th best teams in the country according to the computers. Aside from Jacksonville State, the only remaining game Florida has on their schedule is Florida State, ranked 17th by the computers. If they can defeat both Stanford and Oregon State, combined with a conference championship, Oregon will almost certainly jump Florida and finish in the top three in the computer polls.
 
Making matters worse, Oregon has a firm lock on the human poll, and Notre Dame’s opponents looking stronger as the year goes on will not help them much. Notre Dame’s only meaningful game remaining is against USC – a common opponent with Oregon, meaning that neither school will benefit from the win in comparison to each other.
 
The theory that Notre Dame has a chance to pass Oregon in the polls is bordering on the absurd. With Notre Dame at .990 in the computer polls and Oregon at .870, there is just no room for Notre Dame to advance. Even if Oregon falls in the computer polls to fifth behind Florida and the SEC Champion, something that is very unlikely in the first place, Notre Dame would still need to gain ground in the human polls in order to pass them. With the schedule they have remaining, that is just not going to happen.
 
On the other hand, Oregon has the opportunity to negatively effect Notre Dame’s campaign. With a strong win over Stanford, Oregon will devalue one of Notre Dame’s four biggest wins. That is assuming that Notre Dame beats USC, coincidentally, a team Oregon could push to 8-5 in a potential Pac-12 match-up.
 
For many of the same reasons as Oregon, it’s unlikely that Notre Dame will be able to pass Kansas State.
 
Notre Dame could benefit from Oregon’s strength of schedule down the stretch. Although Kansas State is currently ranked 2nd in the computer rankings, they could fall as far as fifth if Oregon, the winner of the SEC, and Florida are able to pass them. However, I believe any potential moves in the computer polls are a dead end for Notre Dame. If those three teams manage to pass an unbeaten Kansas State, it’s unlikely that Notre Dame will remain at number one in the computer polls, and could fall as far as forth.
 
Notre Dame’s .020 point margin over Kansas State is unlikely to fluctuate by any meaningful margin, meaning that the Fighting Irish will need to gain their ground in the human polls. And, if Notre Dame isn’t ahead of Kansas State now, how are they going to be?
 
If TCU upsets Texas, and USC defeats UCLA, it will set the stage for Notre Dame to make their move in the human polls on the final week of the season. Any prosperity in the rankings Notre Dame receives from that win would be diminished by a USC loss in the Pac-12 Championship to Oregon. A win over an 8-5 USC team isn’t going to make voters choose Notre Dame over Kansas State.
 
For Notre Dame, there really are no realistic scenarios that don’t involve a Kansas State loss or an Oregon loss. The only thing Notre Dame can do now is win the games on their schedule and deal with what the rest of College Football leaves for them. Don’t be surprised if that’s the Rose Bowl, and not the National Championship.

24 Northwestern (7-2) AT Michigan (6-3)
Time: 12:00 PM EDT | Spread: Michigan -9

 
The Pick: Northwestern wins, covers.
 
Why?: Denard Robinson will either be ineffective or out of the game entirely with what seems to be a haunting injury. Devin Gardner was impressive last week, but he’s still largely unproven. To beat Minnesota, Gardner had to have his Receivers win a lot of one-on-one battles that I don’t think they’ll win as easily this week.
 

11 Oregon State (7-1) AT 14 Stanford (7-2)
Time: 3:00 PM EDT | Spread: Stanford -4

 
The Pick: Stanford wins, covers.
 
Why?: Both teams are without their starting Quarterbacks this weekend, leaving the supporting cast to pick up the slack. Unfortunately for Oregon State, Stanford’s supporting cast includes Stepfan Taylor, perhaps the best Senior Running Back in the country.
 

Air Force (5-4) AT San Diego State (7-3)
Time: 3:30 PM EDT | Spread: San Diego State -7

 
The Pick: San Diego State wins, covers.
 
Why?: Air Force has struggled to stop the run so far this year and San Diego State’s two-pronged attack of Sophomore Adam Muema and Senior Walter Kazee has been almost unstoppable so far this season. San Diego State, ranked 20th nationally in rushing yards per game, will be able to run at will.
 

Penn State (6-3) AT 16 Nebraska (7-2)
Time: 3:30 PM EDT | Spread: Nebraska -8 1/2

 
The Pick: Penn State wins, covers.
 
Why?: The toughest test Nebraska’s Secondary will have to face all year in Penn State’s passing attack led by Senior Quarterback Matt McGloin. I don’t think they’re up for the task.
 

15 Texas A&M (7-2) AT 1 Alabama (9-0)
Time: 3:30 PM EDT | Spread: Alabama -14

 
The Pick: Alabama wins, Texas A&M covers.
 
Why?: I think a lot of people are overlooking just how good Texas A&M is. Texas A&M has the best Offense in the SEC, and has the offensive lineman necessary to keep Quarterback Johnny Manziel upright and able to function as a passer and as a runner. I refuse to bet against Alabama again, but I think this one is close up until the end.
 

21 Mississippi State (7-2) AT 7 LSU (7-2)
Time: 7:00 PM EDT | Spread: LSU – 15 1/2

 
The Pick: LSU wins, covers.
 
Why?: This has all the aspects of a “don’t let an opponent beat you twice” type of game, but I can’t see LSU surrendering. The LSU defense will be determined to make a statement following their collapse against Alabama last week.
 

20 Nebraska (6-2) AT Michigan State (5-4)
Time: 3:30 PM EDT | Spread: Nebraska -1 1/2

 
The Pick: Nebraska wins, covers.
 
Why?: I don’t buy Nebraska’s offense, but they won’t have to do much to beat Michigan State. If you can avoid turnovers and play field-position against Michigan State, you will eventually win the game. Their 111th ranked offense will struggle to score even at home. Watch for Sophomore Ameer Abdullah to come up big against Sparty.
 

4 Oregon (8-0) AT 17 USC (6-2)
Time: 7:00 PM EDT | Spread: Oregon -8

 
The Pick: Oregon wins, USC covers.
 
Why?: USC isn’t going down quietly, and while I love Marqise Lee and recently wrote about how he still controls his own destiny in terms of the Heisman campaign, I don’t think they have enough on defense to stop Oregon. Unfortunately for Lee, I also wrote about Kenjon Barner, who will start the final stretch in his Campaign by torching USC.
 

24 Oklahoma State (5-2) AT 2 Kansas State (8-0)
Time: 8:00 PM EDT | Spread: Kansas State -8 1/2

 
The Pick: Kansas State wins, covers.
 
Why?: Kansas State has to be a little nervous about the threat Oklahoma State poses. Kansas State has schemed well against passing combinations in the Big XII, but they’ve yet to face a back the caliber of Joseph Randle. We’ll see if they can handle him. If Kansas State goes down, Randle will likely play the role of villain. Regardless, I can’t bet against Kansas State. Collin Klein has looked unstoppable against better defenses.
 

1 Alabama (8-0) AT 5 LSU (7-1)
Time: 8:00 PM EDT | Spread: Alabama -8

 
The Pick: LSU wins, covers.
 
Why?: If LSU has any hope to win, they have to keep the scoring low. The over/under was set at 39 1/2 and LSU has to keep it significantly underneath that. I think they can. LSU has the most talented defense in the country but hasn’t played like it thus far, I believe they will deliver at home against Alabama. LSU’s defense swallowed Marcus Lattimore whole when they met a few weeks back, if anyone can stop the Alabama rushing attack, it’s LSU. Like South Carolina, Alabama would be forced to let AJ McCarron try to win them the game, and I don’t think he can.
 

22 Arizona (5-3) AT UCLA (6-2)
Time: 10:30 PM EDT | Spread: UCLA -3 1/2

 
The Pick: Arizona wins, covers.
 
Why?: I originally wanted to take UCLA, but the more I look at this game, the more I think Arizona will absolutely be prepared. Rich Rodriguez’s squad has looked really good against perhaps the country’s toughest competition. Arizona has already lost a couple on the road, so I can’t see them sleep-walking though this one.
 

San Diego State (6-3) AT 19 Boise State (7-1)
Time: 10:30 PM EDT | Spread: Boise State -15 1/2

 
The Pick: San Diego State wins, covers.
 
Why?: Boise State has been carried by their defense all season, allowing more than 17 points just once in eight games. Unfortunately for Boise, San Diego State is by far the best offense they’ll face all year. San Diego State’s defense has been mediocre at best so far this year, but you don’t have to be excellent to stop Boise State. Chris Peterson will try to pull some trick plays, but I don’t like his chances.